At the link above there is a broadcast
of a debate I heard today that prompted this post.
Robert Reich is insufferably
smug, though he is smart. He has these rock-solid views on economic policy and he is not even a trained economist
- though, goodness knows, that may be an advantage these days - but not in his
case. And on the other side they have two ineffective spokesmen in Art Laffer and Glen Hubbard. Mark Zandy, arguing against the proposition, is fair and intelligent, but, in my opinion, sadly wrong where it counts. So
frustrating.
Everyone tries to use history
(historical statistics) to support his case. The problem (I repeat again) is the irremediable uncertainty that attaches to the attribution of cause and
effect in the interpretation of historical events and eras. I see the economic
growth that occurred during the Clinton administration resulting from the momentum of the Reagan era reforms (as limited as they were), and
in spite of the increase in taxation that occurred. Reich opines confidently
that raising taxes did no harm to economic growth and value creation and may
have done some good. There is no way to resolve this kind of disagreement. One
can offer coherent theories for each - and other interpretations besides.
So what's left? Well faced with
this uncertainty one has to appeal to values! We have to decide where, in
our ignorance, we want to put the burden of proof. Who should bear the burden
of proof - those advocating an activist economic policy or those opposing it?
In the former case, it would have to be shown beyond a high level of doubt that
higher taxes on the rich DO NOT harm economic growth, productivity, etc. In the
latter case, to effectively oppose it, it would have to be shown that higher
taxes DO so harm these things. The policy adopted absolutely depends on where
you put the burden. So how to decide?
A couple of things that could
have been mentioned in this debate.
1. At
the very top it should be clearly stated that taxation is an inherently coercive act. There is no
escaping this. Taxes are compelled under the threat of forcible extraction or
incarceration. Taxes are an aberration in a free and peaceful society. This should
dramatically color the burden of proof requirement. Those who favor more and
higher taxes, on anyone rich or poor, should have to overcome a fundamental
moral objection to coercion. If taxes are a necessary evil, then they should be
kept to a minimum, continually examined and increased only under the weight of
a powerful argument to do so. Absent the ability to prove the absolute
necessity of increased taxes such a proposal should fail, just as any proposal
to further increase coercion should fail unless some very compelling overriding
purpose can be discerned.
2. Why
this preoccupation with inequality of earnings? All these misleading numbers
about how it has increased? Why is inequality a problem? Surely poverty is the
problem, not inequality. Anti-poverty programs are not the same thing as
anti-inequality programs. We need to get this straight before we can discuss
policy. If everyone in America earned a minimum of $1million in today's
purchasing power, and the richest earned $1billion, would that be a problem? If
the answer is Yes, then what is the norm, the value, that is informing that
answer? Envy, resentment? How does one defend distribution policies without
bringing in resentment, albeit dressed up in respectable terms? These are
unworthy norms, destructive values, for which we chastise our children. How have
they become part of respectable national policy?
3. So,
inequality should not have been part of this debate. Maybe poverty, but not
inequality of earnings. That being said, the focus then shifts to how best to
tackle the question of poverty and one has to note the grossly ineffective
anti-poverty programs of the last sixty years and the fact that there is now a “poverty
industry” in the US – a huge sector of the economy devoted simply to serving the
poor, and thus maintaining poverty. There is simply no denying that there is a
huge public sector constituency that has a vested interest in the maintenance
of poverty. (They have achieved a lot of mileage simply by continually
redefining it).
4. What
the hell does "fairness" mean? Why on earth would anyone consider it
fair that someone with greater earnings which they came by in a legitimate way,
should pay a higher proportion in tax. If I earn $100 and pay 10% in tax, I pay
$10. If I earn $200 and pay 10% in tax, I pay $20. I earn more I pay more, in
direct proportion to my increased earnings. Seems very fair to me. Fairness, as justice, is about treating people
equally regardless of who they are, rich or poor. (The Talmud teaches that the rich
are entitled to equal justice and should not be victimized because of their
advantages.)
Armchair second-guessing is
easy. I probably could not have come up with all of this spontaneously. But given
preparation time, surely Hubbard and Laffer could have done better. I can think
of a number of “Austrian types” who would have.
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